Categories Finance

What is the distribution of forecasts for the US PCE?

Why it’s important? The ranges of estimates are important in terms of market reaction because when the actual data deviates from the expectations, it creates a surprise effect. Another important input in market’s reaction is the distribution of forecasts. In fact, although we can have a range of…

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Categories Finance

Germany January unemployment change 11k vs 14k expected

Prior 10k Unemployment rate 6.2% vs 6.2% expected Prior 6.1% The jobless rate ticked a little higher with the German labour office noting that “underemployment and unemployment increased significantly at the start of the year, as is usual for this month”. This article was written by Justin Low…

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Categories Finance

Bavaria January CPI +2.5% vs +3.0% y/y prior

The latest inflation figures from German states released around the same time: Hesse CPI +2.5% vs +2.4% y/y prior Brandenburg CPI +2.3% vs +2.4% y/y prior Saxony CPI +2.4% vs +3.2% y/y prior North Rhine Westphalia CPI +2.0% vs +2.5% y/y prior Baden Wuerttemberg CPI +2.3% vs +2.6%…

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