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ECB’s Šimkus: Policy will clearly become less restrictive from here

Cannot predict outcome of December’s meetingRisks to economic growth are skewed to the downsideServices inflation remains highBut disinflation trend is on a stable track

Nothing that hasn’t already been said since the policy decision last week. But as things stand, traders have fully priced in a 25 bps rate cut for December with ~118 bps of rate cuts priced until June next year. As a reminder, there will be five meeting decisions between now and then.

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.

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