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Fitch: White House has started a global trade war that will reduce US and world growth

Fitch is out with a note on global growth:

  • The new US administration has started a global trade war that will reduce US and world growth
  • Cuts 2025 US GDP growth forecast to 1.7% from 2.1%
  • Cuts 2026 US GDP growth forecast to 1.5% from 1.7%
  • Mexico and Canada will experience technical recessions
  • World growth to 2.3% from 2.6% in December estimate
  • Fiscal easing in China and Germany will cushion the impact of higher US
    import tariffs, but growth in the eurozone this year will still be a lot
    weaker than forecast in the December GEO

This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.

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