Categories Finance

Beige Book: Fed districts deport slight growth, rising business optimism for 2025

  • Economic activity rose slightly in most Districts, with modest growth in some areas offsetting flat/declining activity elsewhere
  • Employment levels flat to slightly higher, hiring subdued amid low turnover
  • Wage growth softened to modest pace, except robust gains for entry-level and skilled trade positions
  • Price increases modest; firms report greater difficulty passing costs to customers
  • Consumer spending stable but price sensitivity increasing
  • Manufacturing activity mixed across regions
  • Commercial real estate markets showing signs of stabilization in some areas

Notable Details:

  • Consumer price sensitivity rising, including quality sensitivity
  • Insurance costs remain key inflation pressure point
  • Businesses stockpiling inventory ahead of potential import tariffs
  • Data center demand driving robust electricity usage growth
  • Farm economy remains challenged with weak equipment sales

Outlook:

  • Business expectations for growth improved moderately
  • Most districts optimistic about demand increasing in coming months
  • Some uncertainty around potential trade/immigration policy changes
  • Firms cautious on hiring plans despite positive demand outlook

This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.

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